Friday, November 03, 2006

    Dick Morris: Republicans will lose...wait, Republicans will win!

While I must admit I enjoy listening to Dick Morris pontificating on politics, and sometimes find the circuitous logic of his positions interesting, to say the least, I'm afraid the little toe-sucker is trying to be just a little too "Kerryesque" during this mid-term election.

The Gnomish Morris is alternatingly predicting the complete collapse of the Republican party in the coming election, along with the predictible 40 years wandering in the wilderness, and a Republlican resurgance that will keep both houses in Republican hands.
Sorry, but he, unlike Kerry, cannot have it both ways!
Read on . . .

In his latest piece entitled "Election now a toss-up he states this:
The latest polls show something very strange and quite encouraging is happening: The Republican base seems to be coming back home. This trend, only vaguely and dimly emerging from a variety of polls, suggests that a trend may be afoot that would deny the Democrats control of the House and the Senate.
This is, of course, welcome news to Republicans, and it parallels the information that we have been noting on this site for the last several days?weeks?months?

Apparently, it has begun to hit home to the "Dickster" that the Republican base is not going to be content to sit this one out...a conclusion any rational human being would have come to months ago. The stakes are simply too high in this election cycle to give up and "cut and run!"
Yet, it was only five days ago that he had this to say:
The Republican base, that vaunted entity whose every mood swing has controlled the zigs and zags of the Bush administration policy, has moved out, according to the latest Gallup polling.

Karl Rove's heroic efforts to preserve its fealty have failed to move Republican base voters. Karl cannot compensate for Bush's failure to project his issues as the midterm disaster for the Republican Party nears.
Just yesterday I watched a short portion of the movie "Sybil" on the television. Hey, Sally Fields has nothing on this guy, let me tell you!

The plain fact of the matter is that Mr Morris has fallen victim to the disease that plagued the entire eight years of the President Clinton White House. He lives and dies by polling! He does not use rational thinking or his own moral compass to come to conclusions...he takes a poll! Take this excerpt from Oct 19:
The Gallup Poll also reveals that Democrats now win all eight major issues, including terrorism and morality. Asked which party would do more to enhance "moral standards in the country," Democrats now win 47 to 36! And on terrorism, Democrats now have a 47 percent to 42 percent advantage.
HELLO! McFly! Can anyone really look at that poll result, Dems are better than Republicans on terrorism 47-42? That right there should have sent up so many red flags that the poll was flawed, and should not be credited...but alas, not with Dick Morris. If the poll said it, it must be true!

So now, a mere five days later, what has changed? What major changes in the political landscape have taken place? What major international events have colored the vision of the American electorate? Well, nothing...but we took another poll! In today's column he says this:
The GOP base, alienated by the Foley scandal and the generally dismal record of this Congress, may have fast forwarded to the prospect of a Democratic victory and recoiled. They may have pondered the impact of a repeal of the Patriot Act, a ban on NSA wiretapping and a requirement of having an attorney present in terrorist questioning - and decided not to punish the country for the sins of the Republican leaders.
Wow! That's a lot of introspection on the part of the voters in a very short time.

Or, could it possibly be that the electorate is not nearly as fickle as the pollsters, and Mr Morris seem to believe? Is it possible, as has been suggested on this website for many weeks, if not months, that the polls have been rigged from the start? Is it possible that the pollsters have had their own agenda throughout this campaign season? Is it possible that the polls have been more about hope and wishful thinking, than substance?

Or is the Republican base a fickle feather, swirling around, blown whereever the political winds take them? If Morris is right, it is the latter, I believe it might be the former!


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